6 May

Prime Movers

Prime Movers

When it comes to sectors of the property market that command the greatest levels of attention, prime central London is high on the list. It is not just that the fashionable and famous districts such as Mayfair, Kensington and Belgravia are known for their glamour and high prices, but that they are also a possible indicator of the top end of the market as a whole. After all, those wealthy enough to afford to live in properties in that part of the capital will often have the funds to buy large country houses as well.

That this part of the metropolis may be starting to do well is a rumour that has been around for a while. Recently, the Times reported on the experience of estate agents such as Prickett and Ellis in seeing prices rise in the area.

Moreover, others have been busy endorsing the prime central London area as a good one for investors to move back into. One example of this is the view expressed earlier this month by Peter Braithwaite, head of UK residential at global real estate firm DTZ. He stated that there was "no doubt" that activity in this market had increased since Christmas.

He added that investors have come to regard such investments as wise ones. He said: "More deals are being concluded partly by those who believe this sector of the residential market is less volatile than the stock market and also overseas buyers who can obtain finance and take advantage of the weakness of sterling."

"Even if the bottom of the market may not have been reached, most purchasers believe that prime central London will prove to be a good investment in the medium term," Mr Braithwaite concluded.

These comments came around the same time that the Young Group of property portfolio managers published its latest investor survey, showing that there was increased confidence in the prospect over the next year, as more expected prices to rise and planned to buy than was the case in the last quarter of 2008. Notably, the figures were better in London, where 40 per cent of investors were thinking of purchasing over the next year, compared with 23 per cent elsewhere.

Although the Young Group figures did not differentiate between central London and the rest of the capital, the sentiment may suggest a general positive view of the former. But hard figures are always the most important indicator and this week provided them. Knight Frank's Prime Central London Index revealed a 0.4 per cent jump in prices in April, the first increase in a year. Chelsea, Kensington and Mayfair all saw prices up by over one per cent.

So now it appears that real rise in price can be added to better sentiment. Nigel Ellis, senior partner at Prickett & Ellis, expressed similar comments to Peter Braithwaite when he noted that the area has seen activity pick up, with the emphasis again on the value of such property as an investment. He stated: "There are a lot of investors and there is investment money, particularly with the latest Budget and squeezing tensions. You are getting more people saying: 'I've got money in the bank. What can I do with it?' People are returning to the safety of assets - solid assets - of which property is probably a nice one. The British like their bricks and mortar."

He added: "Commentators are saying now is the right time to move up and the consensus is we have reached bottom," revealing that the last three months has seen the firm trebling the number of deals it has done.

So it seems that for prime central London property, the market may not simply be on the launching pad. Instead, the roar and flame of rocket motors may be detected as this sector starts to lift off.
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